An American professor who has devised a system that has helped him correctly predict the last eight US presidential elections says that Donald Trump will emerge victorious on November 8.
Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University, says that he judges candidates by certain criteria that he calls ‘the 13 keys to the White House.’
The professor told The Washington Post that the key are simple true-false statements built on the premise that presidential elections are a referendum on the performance of the incumbent in the White House and the party that he represents.
Lichtman’s 13 keys, which he explains in-depth in his book, Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016, are:
1. Party mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.