Contrary to conventional wisdom, she’s probably finished
Hillary Clinton isn’t likely ever to become president of the United States. In fact, there is a greater possibility than is generally recognized by the Washington cognoscenti that she won’t even run. If she does, though, the barriers she faces will prove overwhelming. Her 2008 campaign was her last good shot for the office, and she failed. Since then, numerous developments have conspired steadily to diminish her prospects. Those prospects are now near zero.
This analytical framework holds absolutely no credulity in Washington, where thinking rarely extends beyond the conventional. The conventional wisdom, of course, is that Mrs. Clinton’s nomination is nearly inevitable and her subsequent election highly likely. It’s true that she is smart, tested, universally known, a whiz at fundraising and generally respected. The long-ago scandals that got her labeled by one prominent columnist as a “congenital liar” have long since receded into the netherworld of the national consciousness. On paper, she looks nearly unbeatable.
Presidential elections don’t take place on paper, though. They take place in the real world, where politics is always about the future. Mrs. Clinton is a product of the past.
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3 comments:
I will pray that you are right.
I agree with most of the article. However, similar logic would also have told me that it was impossible for Americans to re-elect Odumbo. And yet, they did.
In 2008 Democrats were confronted with a tough choice: Which novelty flavor should they support, a female or a bi-racial male? Aided by the ineptness of her campaign he prevailed.
She was on the way to a coronation in 2008, too. That was before her stroke and impending grandchild.
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