A month ago, we joked when we said that for Obama to get the unemployment rate to negative by election time, all he has to do is to crush the labor force participation rate to about 55%. Looks like the good folks at the BLS heard us: it appears that the people not in the labor force exploded by an unprecedented record 1.2 million. No, that's not a typo: 1.2 million people dropped out of the labor force in one month! So as the labor force increased from 153.9 million to 154.4 million, the non institutional population increased by 242.3 million meaning, those not in the labor force surged from 86.7 million to 87.9 million. Which means that the civilian labor force tumbled to a fresh 30 year low of 63.7% as the BLS is seriously planning on eliminating nearly half of the available labor pool from the unemployment calculation. As for the quality of jobs, as withholding taxes roll over Year over year, it can only mean that the US is replacing high paying FIRE jobs with low paying construction and manufacturing. So much for the improvement.
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1 comment:
Ummm, I'm not an economist (thankfully), but If i read this correctly, 154 million are unemployed, and the population is 300- 315 million, which means half of everybody is unemployed. So, take out everybody who is 16 years old or less, and add to that say the same % for those above retirement age. Half of us are either under 16 or over 65, so if there are 300 million of us this article purports that 154 million are employed. That means everybody has a job that is of working age.
It's beautiful math, but it's not what's really happening! Really? Who is "creating" these numbers?
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