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Friday, August 05, 2016

The Car Bubble... And Cash For Clunkers II?

That’s how artifical “incentives” work on the economy. On the macro level, it is the Boom – and Bust – business cycle, whose unnatural peaks and valleys are caused by manipulation of money and credit, which causes excessive and unwarranted “investment” that – inevitably – leads to a downturn (or even a crash) when the artificially induced supply is disproportionate to demand. The housing bubble of the early 2000s is an obvious example of this.

Cash for Clunkers (same era) is another – and its unfortunate effects are just now beginning to become obvious.

As with housing in the early 2000s, the federal government decided it would be a good idea to “stimulate” new car sales by enacting a program that paid people to throw away perfectly good used cars. The idea being that they would then buy new cars to replace the ones thrown away.

Many (but not all, bear with) did so. This created a boom in new cars sales. Not only because there were fewer good used cars available, but also because the ones that remained had gone up considerably in price due to (wait for it) limited supply.This artificial scarcity in turn became the artificial incentive to buy a new car.

Actually, to take out a loan on a new car.

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1 comment:

Anonymous said...

When I heard this Kenya idiot announce this "plan", I took my 2004 Buick with 145K miles and a bad transmission to Salisbury and told them to sign me up. That was 2010 and it's not 2016. I have a Prius with 166 miles on it that was build in NJ that still runs like a top but I since got rid of my Chevy pickup built in Canada with only 70k miles. The A/C on it was beginning to fail. GM has since gone from building quality cars to meeting diversity goals and building junk.