GO HERE to read their article.
DelMarVa's Premier Source for News, Opinion, Analysis, and Human Interest Contact Publisher Joe Albero at alberobutzo@wmconnect.com or 410-430-5349
DelMarVa's Premier Source for News, Opinion, Analysis, and Human Interest Contact Publisher Joe Albero at alberobutzo@wmconnect.com or 410-430-5349
6 comments:
Yeah, but here is a telling statement from that analysis: "In the Eastern Shore precincts, Kratovil leads by 97,438-78,009"...
In the most CONSERVATIVE arae of District 1, Kratovil won an overwhelming majority! Why does this site still put forth Harris as the best for the shore - even when a vast majority of his own party rejected him? any comments?
The analysis in that linked post is based on assumptions from 2006 results that are not appropriate. Here's a comment made there:
According to the MD B of E, as of Nov. 5, more RETURNED a-ballots by Dems -- much different than in 2006, it appears -- and that ratio may also apply in the Western part of D-1 (or Reps. have only a narrow edge there).
The 2006 political situation in D-1 was completely different -- many Dems voted for W. Gilchrest.
There could be significant Rep. a-ballots that cast for Pres. only or for K, too, especially on the Shore.
Signifcant other/unaffiliated ballots have been requested -- those may tend strongly Dem.
P-ballots should tend Dem.
Ergo: Kratovil will likely win!
O-solo-mio . . .
Fat Lady
Don't believe everything you read!
Joe:
Are you covering today's count here at the Board of Elections in Salisbury? How are the numbers going?
Here is the received ballot data, based on the Board's website info thru Nov 4:
Total 25,539
Dem 11,371
Rep 10924
Other 3244
Eastern Shore Counties
Total 15,961
Dem 7445
Rep 5363
Other 3153
Western Shore Counties (MD-1 Total minus ES)
Total 9578
Dem 3926
Rep 5561
Other 91
********************************
What's striking is that the last category ("Other") is almost entirely on the Shore, which may be significant for Kratovil if the D&R ballots are mostly along party lines.
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