In the 36 gubernatorial races this fall, all but 10 of the states are currently led by Republicans.
The last five months have been a busy time in politics. And yet, since our last handicapping of the 2018 gubernatorial races, the broad outline of this year’s 36 contests has barely budged.
In fact, we’ve changed the rating of only one state: New York moves from safe Democratic to likely Democratic.
Otherwise, 18 seats are still vulnerable -- 12 of which are held by the GOP, compared to just five by the Democrats and one by an independent, Alaska’s Bill Walker. Of those 18, three GOP-held seats -- Illinois, Maine and New Mexico -- currently lean Democratic. By contrast, no Democratic seat leans Republican, though three are rated tossup: the open seats in Colorado, Connecticut and Minnesota.