Statistical model accurately predicted Clinton, Bush & Obama victories
A political science professor who has accurately predicted the winners of previous presidential elections asserts that his statistical model shows Donald Trump has a 97-99% chance of taking the Oval Office if he wins the Republican nomination.
Stony Brook University Professor Helmut Norpoth has created a statistical algorithm that uses a candidate’s performance in party primaries and patterns in the electoral cycle to forecast the winner of the presidential election.
Should Trump follow through on his huge momentum and become the Republican nominee, he has a 97% chance of beating Hillary Clinton and a 99% chance of beating Bernie Sanders in the general election, according to Norpoth, who presented his findings at the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan earlier this week.
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6 comments:
Sanders may still be in for a political reason.A town hall meeting has nowhere near the influence of a debate.If Sanders was to attempt to drop out every effort would be made to keep him in.It will unfortunately be Hillary.
We can only hope it is this instead of any dumbocrat!
Trump will surround himself with good common sense business folks along with political strength. The man is not stupid. He has admitted he is not a politician, however he is a leader of the peoples wishes.
I hope so
I agree the next President will be Donald Trump, and I'm 100% for it.
"He has admitted he is not a politician, however he is a leader of the peoples wishes." I respect your intentions, but you are being played by a conman.
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