Obama is a little ahead of Mitt Romney and people are getting nervous. Keep a few things in mind.
1) Obama was expected to get a small bounce from the convention. He did.
2) Romney’s massive ad campaign in the swing states has just started and unlike McCain, who was outspent 3-to-1, Romney will either run even with Obama or outspend him in every state that matters in the final two months.
3) Keep in mind that Jimmy Carter was ahead of Ronald Reagan at this point in the campaign.
So, when you should start to worry?
In late September, early October, if Obama is sitting somewhere around 46% to 47% in reputable polls of likely voters, he’s in trouble. If they’re knotted up at around 48%, it’s probably going to be a really close election. If Obama still has a lead at that point and is polling at 49% or above, Mitt’s the one in trouble.
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2 comments:
Yea, after what Mitt did to the Republicans at the convention, is doing to Libertarians and other third party candidates now and the fact that a challenger has to win big to win at all, he's gonna loose.
Obama is in a death spiral that will not end. Good riddance! There are people like me that subscribe to his web mailings that he claims as his "supporters", but the only reason I subscribe is to keep track of his moves and for the entertainment value. If he uses my statistic a supporter, which I'm sure he does, well he's a fool. But, then we all knew this going in.
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