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Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Dr. Hoffman: What we know about the COVID-19 pandemic

There’s a lot to report here. Today, I’ll try to impart some of the latest facts about the COVID-19 (aka “coronavirus”) pandemic, although things are moving really fast.

In fact, they’re moving so swiftly that you may have noticed this newsletter is coming to you a few days early. As you know, I strive to keep all my readers informed on the latest health news, so in an effort to make sure you’re getting the most up-to-date information, we’ve tightened the production of my weekly newsletter to provide the shortest turnaround between when I write my article and when you receive it. As such, in the coming weeks, you may notice that you receive the newsletter earlier in the week, or even more than once per week, as the developments in our knowledge demand. I hope you’ll bear with the deviations from our usual schedule, and that you find these newsletters helpful and informative in these unpredictable times. I also encourage you share this newsletter with your loved ones to keep them informed.

Without further ado, here’s the latest news on COVID-19:

How severe is it? Very. I posted a special podcast Sunday with Dr. Leo Galland, a highly-respected veteran integrative practitioner who believes we should prepare for the worst. He estimates that within months, the majority of Americans will contract coronavirus infections, and the death rate will be around 1%—more in the frail elderly and those with predisposing conditions like diabetes, hypertension, lung disease, or with deliberate immune-suppression due to chemo or radiation, or medications like steroids and biologics now used for autoimmune conditions or to prevent organ transplant rejection. That means that the death toll could rise into the millions.

He, and other health experts, believe it’s just a matter of simple math. The transmissibility of COVID-19 has been calculated to be 3.58, which means that every individual who is infectious has the ability to transmit the virus to 3+ individuals. The concern is that at least 10% of carriers may remain asymptomatic and are “silent spreaders”. So just sequestering ill people won’t halt the transmission of the disease. That’s why governments are stampeding to initiate total lockdowns to stanch the spread.

Let’s do the math. Rounding off to a transmission rate of 3, stating with one errant spring breaker or returning Mardi Gras celebrant, and you get 3 additional infections. 3—>9—>27—>81—>243—>729 . . . you see where this is going.

Hence the need to break the chain of transmission by social distancing, frequent and thorough handwashing, and keeping surfaces clean.

Of course, we must temper doomsday scenarios with some valid counter-arguments...

There's a good analysis here

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

Going to have to tell ABC, NBC, and CBS to temper the Doomsday scenario, they are painting a very bleak dismal future for this country, even after we come out of the quarantine.

Complete financial meltdown for all companies, businesses, and investments. Long term suffering for those that do recover from the virus.
Devastating unemployment for years to come.
Several new laws infringing on individual rights.
Massive taxes on those that will have jobs.
Local small businesses and restaurants will never recover or reopen.
The change is personal habits due to long quarantine will temper people getting back into old routines.
Church visitations will never rebound.
Club memberships will not recover.
All due to people adjusting their lives to the quarantine. (it only takes 21 days to instill a new habit phycologist say)

Anonymous said...

Yep Sounds like luciferian babble to me i want to know who let it loose. it was stolen from US labs by china. Perfect marxist weapon and not a single shot fired. Appears Social distancing allows better control of the sheep. Luciferians thrive in this turmoil, and sneak in laws to enslave us further. I believe its bad but its was intentional Just like 911 Was but appeared not to be!

Anonymous said...

Spot on bro.

Anonymous said...

9:07

YEP

Anonymous said...

So you believe China military attacked China, Korea, and Iran?

You are quite a special sort of sheep.

Anonymous said...

Agree with 9:07PM. and can't believe people can't see that...

Anonymous said...

Isn't this virus very convenient for the democrats? Takes a lot of heat off the illegals which are all the democrats.

Anonymous said...

SHELTER in place...needs to be mandatory.

Anonymous said...

Why in our labs in the first place, 9:07?

Anonymous said...

I don’t have a lab.
Do you have a lab?
Or do you mean the US Military’s lab?

Stop identifying with an evil corrupt military