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Friday, May 06, 2016

The Republican Horse Race Is Over, and Journalism Lost

Wrong, wrong, wrong — to the very end, we got it wrong.

Just a couple of weeks ago, political prognosticators in television and print media were describing Indiana as the “most important test” for Donald J. Trump and a “firewall” where Ted Cruzshould do well.” It was one of those states Mr. Cruz could have used to force the likely — if not “guaranteed” — prospect of a contested convention in Cleveland, where, boy, were we in for a spectacular show.

Still more recently — as in Tuesday — the data journalist Nate Silver, who founded the FiveThirtyEight website, gave Hillary Clinton a 90 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders in Indiana. Mr. Sanders won by a comfortable margin of about five percentage points.

You can continue to blame all the wrong calls this year on new challenges in telephone polling when so many Americans — especially the young — do not have landlines and are therefore hard to track down. Or you can blame the unpredictability of an angry and politically peripatetic electorate.

But in the end, you have to point the finger at national political journalism..

More here

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

MSM, you just don't appreciate how pissed off we really are.

Anonymous said...

7 :30 Neither does Tom Ryan. What a LOSER. These people can not see what would happen if Killary wins. They think they would have a shot in the next election. By then with Obummers 3rd term that she would extend and her Supreme court nominees, the Country would be unrecognizable. Trump is correct these are some of the stupidest people alive.