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Tuesday, September 25, 2018

What Comes Next?

All things have a beginning, a middle and and end.

And now, more than 3,480 days into the current bull market, the longest in history, we can say with high confidence we are very close to its end.

Why?

For manifold reasons that are multiplying fast. So many, in fact, that each of the key speakers at the recent Peak Prosperity/Contra Corner Summit in New York City had difficulty finding enough time to enumerate them all during the six-hour event.

David Stockman, President Reagan's budget head and former US Congressman, focused his warnings on the overconcentration of financialized (i.e., phony) profits in the world economy, which mask the steep decline in the production of tangible (i.e., real) value.

Among his long litany of examples of the sclerosis and fraud within today's economy, he explained how so much of today's euphoric stock prices are an artifact of the cheap credit made possible by the world's central banking cartel -- enabling a massive LBO of our corporate industry.

Long story short: artificially low rates have been allowing corporate executives, for years, to buy back a huge percentage of their company's shares, enriching shareholders (most notably the execs themselves) in the immediate term, while saddling the underlying companies under tremendous leverage (1m:13s):

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2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I was thinking last week, this feels alot like the beginning of the 1980's. We went into Hyperinflation. Super High interest rates( a good home mortgage was 17 percent!). And the market on a small scale in comparison, collapsed. the stock Market is way overbought. And the Fed is way behind on Interest rates. Can't go like this forever.

Anonymous said...

It will continue to go exactly as planned by the . . .

Well, you know.