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Monday, August 01, 2016

Hillary Lead Over Trump Surges After Reuters "Tweaks" Poll

Over the past week, there was a troubling development for the establishment: Trump was soaring in the polls. In fact, in the widely watched, Reuters/IPSOS poll, for the first time Trump had taken an inexcusable 1 point lead following the Republican National convention.

So, as we reported last night, something had to be done. And something was done: Reuters “tweaked” its polling methodology.

As Reuters explained, “in a presidential campaign notable for its negativity, the option of “Neither” candidate appears to be an appealing alternative, at least to participants in the Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll. Many voters on both sides have been ambivalent in their support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, complicating the task of the pollsters trying to track the race. That sentiment may help explain an apparent skew that recently emerged in the Reuters/Ipsos poll results. Given the choice, a relatively large group of voters opted for “Neither/Other” candidate compared with other major polls, leading to an underreporting of several percentage points for one or other of the two major contenders at times in the race.”

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3 comments:

Anonymous said...

that's real fair. We have the most corrupt government in the world. #HillaryForPrison

Anonymous said...

I always tell the pollsters what I think they want to hear - more importantly...what my wife wants to hear...

The voting booth is private!

Anonymous said...

Historically the polls always slant left by at least 10 points and then as the election draws closer they become more accurate so they can keep some credibility. The reason for this is to create a mindset of inevitability to influence peoples vote.