The polls are all over the place out there. I might add that New Hampshire’s polling over the last few elections has been notoriously wrong. Thirteen polls before Iowa this time around also got it wrong. Having said that, Real Clear Politics shows one thing for certain… Donald Trump has a commanding lead over the Republican field. I don’t believe a lot of what these polls have to say about the race in the Granite State, but I do believe that Donald Trump is far, far ahead there and looks to win that caucus. He leads by double digits and even though he is playing down whether he will win or not, it looks to me as though he has that state in the bag.
From The Wall Street Journal:
Donald Trump leads the crowded GOP presidential field by double digits in the final days leading up to New Hampshire’s primary Tuesday, according to the latest Monmouth University Poll released on Sunday.
Bernie Sanders holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton among likely voters in the Granite State’s Democratic primary.
Mr. Trump, a billionaire businessman, earns 30% support from voters likely to participate in Tuesday’s primary, with the next four candidates clustered within two percentage points but far behind Mr. Trump. The poll was taken before Saturday night’s Republican debate. With 14% support from likely voters, Ohio Gov. John Kasich has a narrow lead over Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who are tied at 13%, and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 12%. The four are within the margin of error of each other.