Though I won't go so far as to say the Indiana primary is do or die for the Ted Cruz campaign, it couldn't be much more important. As events have unfolded, Indiana has a critical choice to make next Tuesday.
It shouldn't surprise political observers that Donald Trump won decisively in New York and the other Northeastern states. I don't mean to disparage Republicans in that region, but they are more liberal than Republicans elsewhere in the United States, and Trump is far more acceptable to liberal Republicans than Cruz is, especially on social issues.
But the race isn't over. Trump will still have great difficulty acquiring 1,237 delegates before the Republican National Convention. No, Cruz can't reach 1,237 before the convention, but he very well could reach that number if Trump doesn't, either, and the race goes to a second ballot.
This is not to say that Trump doesn't have a strong advantage now or that the candidates' respective delegate counts are irrelevant going in to the Cleveland convention. The more Cruz can narrow the gap between now and Cleveland the greater his case for succeeding on subsequent ballots.
In that sense, all the remaining states are pivotal, but Indiana perhaps more so because it is in the Midwest and is considered more conservative — and right now is up for grabs, according to polls. Though all primary and caucus voters have a grave responsibility, scorching heat is on Indiana Republicans.
We mustn't forget that the Trump phenomenon was born from the gross excesses of the leftist Obama administration and the ineffectiveness of the GOP establishment to stop them. Regardless of the latter's insistence that it did everything it could to resist President Obama, the majority of Republicans, at least, don't buy it.