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Friday, October 16, 2015

US Retail Sales Tumble Most Since January, Signal Sustained Recessionary Environment

One year ago the abysmal retail sales data crushed the market's hope that the recovery from the 7th half of 2012 was imminent. It also unleashed the Treasury flash crash, where the 40 bps plunge in yields was according to Jamie Dimon was a 1 in 3 billion year occurence. It only ended when Bullard hinted at QE4.

Moments ago, in a stark deja vu to precisely one year ago, retail sales disappointed even more than in October 2014, when 27 out of 27 economists thought the control group would be positive. It came at -0.1%.

The details: Retail Sales (ex Autos) dropped 0.3% in September, the 2nd drop in a row, the biggest drop since January (at the heart of the weather-driven economic weakness).

This is the 7th miss in the last 10 months...


1 comment:

Anonymous said...

most are afraid to spend or simply don't have enough money to spend on non-essentials. this is the way we live today.