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Monday, March 06, 2017

Auto Lending Update - Someone Please Explain How This Is Not A Bubble

Experian recently released their Q4 2016 Automotive Finance Market update which includes a lot of statistics that seem to confirm our frequently documented concerns about the sustainability of the current level of annual auto sales (see here, here and here for our recent notes on the topic).

First, there is the staggering growth of auto loans outstanding. It should be readily apparent to almost anyone that a 21% expansion in credit issuance over the course of just two years likely implies there has been at least some degradation in underwriting standards.



Anonymous said...

I hate to say it , but I will , obama caused all of the issues including this one.(not bush)
Just curious of how many issues of default have been caused by minorities ?

Anonymous said...

The millions of illegals have to drive something.

Anonymous said...

Tick-tock, tick-tock.... going to be like the housing crisis. The bomb is ready to blow. Just a matter of time.
Easy money to keep the industry moving so Detroit could payoff the government bailout.
And the other travesty is student loans. We created a society where people could not succeed without a college education, made it easier to get in and pay for it. Now, young grads come out with no skills and tons of debt, can't pay their student loans let alone their car and credit card debt.
We can't keep kicking the can down the road.