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Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Poll: Roy Moore Now Leads by Five Points in Alabama

A poll released by Change Research late Monday shows that conservative Republican candidate Roy Moore leads liberal Democrat candidate Doug Jones by five points in the December 12 Alabama U.S. Senate special election, 49 percent to 44 percent.

According to the poll:

Alabama Republican Roy Moore has reopened a 49–44 lead over Democrat Doug Jones in the race for U.S. Senate. In Change Research’s third poll since the sexual misconduct allegations against Moore first surfaced on November 9, we found that he has completely erased the 3-point lead Jones had opened up in mid-November. Moore’s lead is now just as large as it was just after the story broke.

What has changed? The largest difference is turnout: many Republicans who ten days ago said they might not vote, now say they plan to show up on Election Day and vote for Moore. In mid-November, 82% of those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 said they would “definitely” vote on December 12; that number has climbed to 88%. Additionally, Moore has made some gains with his base: his 91–5 lead with them ten days ago has grown to a 93–4 edge. In mid-November, 10% of voters had planned to cast a write-in vote; that number has dropped to 7%.

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8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Someone with un-proven allegations is better than almost any dumbocrat!

Now, if they come back with evidence and take it to a court of law, he should rightfully step aside - but the dumbocrats don't do that either!

Are you listening Conyers...Franken?!

Anonymous said...

People are learning the dirty tactics of the left. If the fake news says it's true then it's probably a lie.

Disgruntled Patriot said...

The stories of the supposed Allred-backed victims is unraveling. Karl Rove really bit the dust on this op big time!

Anonymous said...

Media so crazed by Trump they haven't campaigned for Mr Jones in Alabama.

Anonymous said...

Note this poll was heavily skewed towards republican voters. It broke down about 49 percent of people questioned were republican. 29 percent Democrat and 21 percent independent.

Disgruntled Patriot said...

Note to MORON 1147: Alabama is one of the REDDEST States in the USA. They don't have a lot of Democrats there because those people love to 'cling to their butter and guns and bibles.' Maybe you shouldn't quit your day job because as a pollster you suck!

Anonymous said...

I really hate it when people like 11:47am try to hijack posts. They are disgusting trolls. Does your mommy have your pop tarts ready yet, 11:47a? You best go upstairs and find out.

Anonymous said...

Polls mean nothing, all the polls predicted crooked Hillary to win. Thank God they were wrong. I will never believe another poll agin. Not accurate at all