Adding up all the states list that EXCLUDES the Covid 19 comes to 938,000 deaths so far this year. Adding the COVID 19 only deaths for the US, 63,000 brings the total number of deaths so far this year to 991,000.
US average for 2017 @ 325m population (we’re now at 330m, or 1% higher) was 991,000 deaths for the first 4 months of the year, adding for the 1% population increase in 2019 @ 330m brings the average to 1,001,000.
So that means we’re 8,000 deaths BEHIND IN OVERALL DEATHS for the year!
The chart shows that the maximum crude death rate since 1950 varied from minus 1.37% to plus 1.37% with lesser variations when the curves were reversing.
So, that puts our 2020 death rate curve in a nose dive at an approximate 1% DOWN RATE! Considering that the winter months Dec through March are the usual higher rate of the year, we’re doing GREAT!
Why are we shut down, again?
FULL DISCLOSURE: It should be noted that the numbers are SOMEWHAT down because there are less car accident deaths since a lot of the country has been shut down.
It should also be noted that IF we were to open up Ocean City our number of deaths WILL in fact increase. The bottom line is, we still believe the numbers will be within reason of NORMAL deaths from each year to date.
Finally, there are 5,000,000 more people this year (so far) than there were last year in the United States.
Now it's up to you to decide if the shut down is actually in the best "health interest" of the United States. Shame on the MSM for NOT doing this research and brainwashing Americans with BOGUS scare tactics.
Coronavirus Cases
Total number of reported cases of COVID-19 for the entire world:
3,214,256
Total number of reported deaths:
232,570
Date of report: Friday, May 1, 2020
Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
United States Deaths Clock
Number of deaths in the United States today so far:
3,462
Note: Numbers on this page do not include deaths due to COVID-19. Our estimates are based on deaths reported before the pandemic started. Check our coronavirus section for information about daily and total deaths caused by the virus.
A person dies approximately every 11.14 seconds
Number of deaths per year: 2,830,688
Number of deaths per day: 7,755
Number of deaths per hour: 323
Deaths by State
| State | Number of deaths per year | Number of deaths per day | Number of deaths per hour | Number of deaths in 2020 so far | Number of deaths today so far | Number of seconds between deaths |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 53,879 | 148 | 6 | 17,927 | 66 | 585.31 |
| Alaska | 4,819 | 13 | 1 | 1,603 | 6 | 6,544.10 |
| Arizona | 60,523 | 166 | 7 | 20,138 | 74 | 521.06 |
| Arkansas | 31,322 | 86 | 4 | 10,422 | 38 | 1,006.83 |
| California | 282,520 | 774 | 32 | 94,003 | 346 | 111.62 |
| Colorado | 39,116 | 107 | 4 | 13,015 | 48 | 806.22 |
| Connecticut | 31,149 | 85 | 4 | 10,364 | 38 | 1,012.42 |
| Delaware | 9,454 | 26 | 1 | 3,146 | 12 | 3,335.73 |
| District of Columbia | 5,677 | 16 | 1 | 1,889 | 7 | 5,555.05 |
| Florida | 211,692 | 580 | 24 | 70,436 | 259 | 148.97 |
| Georgia | 86,319 | 236 | 10 | 28,721 | 106 | 365.34 |
| Hawaii | 12,748 | 35 | 1 | 4,242 | 16 | 2,473.80 |
| Idaho | 13,308 | 36 | 2 | 4,428 | 16 | 2,369.70 |
| Illinois | 110,004 | 301 | 13 | 36,602 | 135 | 286.68 |
| Indiana | 62,175 | 170 | 7 | 20,687 | 76 | 507.21 |
| Iowa | 28,809 | 79 | 3 | 9,586 | 35 | 1,094.66 |
| Kansas | 25,230 | 69 | 3 | 8,395 | 31 | 1,249.94 |
| Kentucky | 46,074 | 126 | 5 | 15,330 | 56 | 684.46 |
| Louisiana | 46,343 | 127 | 5 | 15,420 | 57 | 680.49 |
| Maine | 14,335 | 39 | 2 | 4,770 | 18 | 2,199.93 |
| Maryland | 51,453 | 141 | 6 | 17,120 | 63 | 612.91 |
| Massachusetts | 58,564 | 160 | 7 | 19,486 | 72 | 538.49 |
| Michigan | 95,983 | 263 | 11 | 31,936 | 117 | 328.56 |
| Minnesota | 43,200 | 118 | 5 | 14,374 | 53 | 730.00 |
| Mississippi | 31,536 | 86 | 4 | 10,493 | 39 | 1,000.00 |
| Missouri | 60,141 | 165 | 7 | 20,011 | 74 | 524.37 |
| Montana | 9,870 | 27 | 1 | 3,284 | 12 | 3,195.14 |
| Nebraska | 15,582 | 43 | 2 | 5,185 | 19 | 2,023.87 |
| Nevada | 25,610 | 70 | 3 | 8,521 | 31 | 1,231.39 |
| New Hampshire | 12,125 | 33 | 1 | 4,034 | 15 | 2,600.91 |
| New Jersey | 75,723 | 207 | 9 | 25,195 | 93 | 416.47 |
| New Mexico | 18,388 | 50 | 2 | 6,118 | 22 | 1,715.03 |
| New York | 164,817 | 452 | 19 | 54,840 | 202 | 191.34 |
| North Carolina | 94,312 | 258 | 11 | 31,380 | 115 | 334.38 |
| North Dakota | 6,250 | 17 | 1 | 2,080 | 8 | 5,045.76 |
| Ohio | 117,750 | 323 | 13 | 39,179 | 144 | 267.82 |
| Oklahoma | 40,266 | 110 | 5 | 13,398 | 49 | 783.19 |
| Oregon | 36,563 | 100 | 4 | 12,166 | 45 | 862.51 |
| Pennsylvania | 133,439 | 366 | 15 | 44,399 | 163 | 236.33 |
| Rhode Island | 9,802 | 27 | 1 | 3,261 | 12 | 3,217.30 |
| South Carolina | 50,744 | 139 | 6 | 16,884 | 62 | 621.47 |
| South Dakota | 7,337 | 20 | 1 | 2,441 | 9 | 4,298.21 |
| Tennessee | 67,977 | 186 | 8 | 22,618 | 83 | 463.92 |
| Texas | 202,786 | 556 | 23 | 67,473 | 248 | 155.51 |
| Utah | 17,443 | 48 | 2 | 5,804 | 21 | 1,807.95 |
| Vermont | 5,634 | 15 | 1 | 1,875 | 7 | 5,597.44 |
| Virginia | 69,729 | 191 | 8 | 23,201 | 85 | 452.27 |
| Washington | 58,587 | 161 | 7 | 19,494 | 72 | 538.28 |
| West Virginia | 22,567 | 62 | 3 | 7,509 | 28 | 1,397.44 |
| Wisconsin | 50,393 | 138 | 6 | 16,767 | 62 | 625.80 |
| Wyoming | 4,971 | 14 | 1 | 1,654 | 6 | 6,344.00 |
| Puerto Rico | 28,821 | 79 | 3 | 9,590 | 35 | 1,094.20 |
Here are the links for our sources in this article.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.indexmundi.com/coronavirus/
https://www.indexmundi.com/clocks/indicator/deaths/united-states
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/68/wr/mm6826a5.htm
I mentioned in a comment yesterday (that didn't get posted) that I have a friend who's grandmother tested negative for COVID twice, but the doctors said the death was COVID because she experienced similar symptoms. She was in hospice care for COPD and Kidney failure and had been given a week to live - so THEN they did the tests. Here again, she was NEGATIVE, but the doctors listed it as a COVID related death anyway.
ReplyDeleteGhee, I'm not sure why your comment didn't get posted, it should have. Nevertheless, I can only hope people can appreciate the amount of time and energy that went into this particular article. It took us THREE days to compile and NO other news source is even trying to come up with this factual information.
ReplyDeleteSo, staying home reduces deaths from more than just COVID 19.
ReplyDeleteNo worries. I had link to a Yahoo article that supported my experience of inflated numbers such as the case I pointed out. I'm guessing that's why it didn't show.
ReplyDelete"So, staying home reduces deaths from more than just COVID 19."
ReplyDeleteTrue, but staying home and not associating with other humans is not living, either.
Welcome to Communism
Deleteby the way....we are trying to conserve energy for the good of all people.
All LIGHTS WILL BE TURNED OFF AT 10 PM ...
TURMED BACK ON AT 6AM ...
We have become a Data and Statistics driven nation.
ReplyDeleteKeep on Keepin on - DELMARVA'S EXCLUSIVE LEADER with NEWS/INFORMATION!
What you, et al do is GREATLY appreciated!
OMG Joe. A BIG THANK YOU for taking the time to do this research. From the beginning I had a gut feeling the Covid numbers weren't that big. Every death is sad but it is a part of life and every year a certain amount of folks pass. That's life.
ReplyDeleteI am guessing you didn't add in the number of babies terminated each year. That would add approximately another million.
Thanks again Joe.
Certain states (FL comes to mind) are ordering their coroners to NOT report corona deaths.
ReplyDeleteCalifornia is the same way.
Delete1:49 they are saying thousands of premature deaths have been prevented from pollution alone. Looks like we are the virus after all.
ReplyDeleteThey had Woodstock during a worse pandemic
ReplyDeleteJoe,
ReplyDeleteWhat kind of fluctuations happened year to year? Is it consistent or is there an outlier; like the Flu, Cancer, etc... What is the average population increase (growth rate%) in the US year to year? Do they have death by car crash by month over the years? That would be interesting?
I have been saying for awhile that COVID-19 has been around at least since December and now the Media are just starting to realise this.
ReplyDeleteI work at a Hospital and a lot of us got sick in January. Almost everyone said it was the worse flu ever. Many were having a hard time shaking it off but when you went to the Doctor they never tested you they just said you had the flu and gave some meds then sent you home.
My father who is in his 70's was never so sick before but we still thought it was just the flu.
In the end all of us lived and more than likely have the Antibodies to prove it if we could only get tested for that.
Even people on the west coast said this was a bad flu saison and most caught it around December through January.
149 yes maybe but now 30 million people are out of work and our total economy is on the verge of collapse. So if this doesn’t turn around quickly those numbers will surely go up and this entire country will be in recession. Does that make you happy???
ReplyDeleteNot at all. But, neither is dying. A common ground must be found.
DeleteLIBS want to stay home bc they love communism.
ReplyDeleteI trust them as much as your 1,600 dollar unemployment number and your 16 week paid leave for caring for a sick family member with Covid-19.
ReplyDeleteMd is the 3 highest now.
ReplyDelete"Never let the facts get in the way of a good story"
ReplyDeleteOne of the few smart things that Marty Bass has ever said.
Since trust is so unjust,
ReplyDeleteI don't know who the Hell to trust,
I've trusted many to my sorrow,
So show me today and I'll trust you tomorrow.
A lot of the other causes of death (car accidents, cancer, heart attacks, stroke, etc.) are very different & shouldn't be compared to this virus or any flu because they are not communicable diseases. You can't control them from occurring but you can take steps to curb spread of viruses.
ReplyDeleteThe voice of reason. Why don't more people think rational like this commentor? This is a new "flu". A car accident is a car accident and it doesn't spread 2 cars back.
DeleteYou can make statistics say anything you want. To fit your agenda.
ReplyDeleteSo this is only your view to advance your agenda. Not the truth
Then please produce empirical evidence and statistics with credible backing to support your statement that would also refute what the article is referencing. By the way...... I’m waiting.......
DeleteThanks for compiling the death statistics. Important to know the truth instead of relying on MSM hysteria.
ReplyDelete3:12pm, that's why We provided the links to the sites, so you could look it up for yourself and check my math. It's just facts. Argue with them all you want.
ReplyDeleteI know there are fluctuations, so this is it a straight up comparison but if you consider that we are 1/3 of the way through the year check out the Maryland numbers:
ReplyDelete17,120 x 3 = 51,360 [yearly MD deaths are 51,453] almost dead-on, normal.
Yup, the hospitals being flooded with people dying. Pretty Normal?
Delete2:41------I've been saying the same thing. Early Jan we attended a funeral in Staten Island. Just about everyone got sick who was there including the children. fevers, some sore throats, runny nose cough that nothing helped. Many went to the doctors some even ER. Many were tested for flu, strep and all negative. Diagnosis was "an aggressive" flu, bronchitis. Thank God no one died and Thank God no one knew about Corona because that would have caused nervous breakdowns especially since so many children were sick. Then more then 1/2 our Staten Island church came down with it and we were even praying back in mid January it was so bad. By Feb most were over it and fine. THEN someone we know died on Feb 7 near Baltimore. Many of the same people attended that funeral also a few days after the 7th. Within days half the people were sick! We've all been talking about it on IG and NO one who got sick after the first funeral got sick at the MD funeral. We are convinced it was Corona.
ReplyDeleteOut of state tags are out biggest problem. Please shame them folks.
ReplyDeleteI 2nd and 3rd this motion.
DeleteOK, Joe. I'm confused. Maybe you can help me. The IndexMundi website says that they don't include COVID-19 deaths. Why not? Are these actual deaths, or are they estimates based on the previous year . Do you know where these numbers came from?
ReplyDeleteI ask because it is really easy to add the current deaths with the COVID-19 deaths to get a total death for each State, and then compare the numbers. Is this a correct assumption? Do the total deaths really represent actual deaths up until April 30, and not estimates.
Now, if so, these are looking like a big nothing. For example, add the total COVID deaths to the total deaths, and you'll get a grand total of deaths. Then, compare it to last year's deaths, divided by 3 (since we are at the first 1/3 of the year). What you get for a few States are:
California Last Year (94,173), this year (96,032)
North Carolina Last Year (31,437), this year (31,786)
Maryland Last Year (17,151), this year (18,177)
I could go on, but you get what I'm doing. I'm asking for clarification because this just seems to fit perfectly, meaning the number of COVID deatsh really haven't made a difference in the total deaths year over year.
Now, to be fair New York really is the anomaly:
New York Last Year (54,939), this year (78,427)
so, NY has a serious problem, but the rest of the States seem similar to last year.
Again, how confident are you in these numbers? Because, if the numbers are accurate, this is a big deal.
Ooooohhhh Joey, you're my hero!
ReplyDelete"Over 37,000 Americans die in automobile crashes per year. More than 90 people die in accidents every day. (Source: https://www.thewanderingrv.com/car-accident-statistics/)"
ReplyDeleteShall we keep going? Or do you want an endless amount of statistics about things that aren't relevant to Covid19?
Delete"Anonymous said...
ReplyDeleteA lot of the other causes of death (car accidents, cancer, heart attacks, stroke, etc.) are very different & shouldn't be compared to this virus or any flu because they are not communicable diseases. You can't control them from occurring but you can take steps to curb spread of viruses.
May 1, 2020 at 3:42 PM"
True and also take into account it is a new virus so no one was immune. BUT if you look at the percentages from the random antibody testing done in NY and read people's stories who are sure they had it back in Dec even this virus was without any doubts circulating well before we are being told it was. the hospitals weren't overwhelmed then or was there any fear of it happening. It was only when it was announced pandemic and people like cuomo were fear mongering did the panic set in and people who so much as coughed ran to the ER's.
"Anonymous said...
ReplyDeleteYou can make statistics say anything you want. To fit your agenda.
So this is only your view to advance your agenda. Not the truth
May 1, 2020 at 4:17 PM"
You win the award today for most idiotic comment of the day. Yes statistics most certainly an be manipulated The Coronavirus deaths being an example no one can deny they've been manipulated since it's come to light many were presumed. Now explain for all just how these statistics were manipulated. I will save you the time. They weren't manipulated because it's not possible.
5:30, that was one of my biggest stumbling points when looking for this year's stats. If you look at the first page of screenshots, it's from the Mundi.com site Coronavirus Deaths. Look all the way down at the bottom of the page at the last line, "United States 63,006". That's what I added to the State by State total go 938,000 from the other page. Makes the 991,000 number which is 9,000 not 8,000 lower as I had first printed in the article. (Crazy how math never lets me lie!)
ReplyDeleteOn another point brought up by another commenter, in 2017, our population was 325m and at the end of 2019, 330m with the wave chart showing a steady rise through those years, so everybody was staying busy back then!
You're welcome.
Mr. Math Man. Are you the same one that came up with the $1600 weekly unemployment benefits ?
DeleteOne part of the equation not mentioned is the effect of the shelter in place order. Did this save a few lives or many thousands? My guess is we may never know.
DeleteWow thanks for the enlightenment i'll be sure to pass it on to all the other media brainwashed friends of mine
ReplyDeleteDoes this mean I can drive into Maryland and not be told on?
ReplyDeleteIt seems so now. A couple of days ago no, but now that is exactly what it means. Funny how fast opions changed. I wonder what happened?
DeleteVery interesting , I too have wondered about exactly that . Like Hillary said , It's a shame to waste a good disaster. The media has really owned this . You rock Joe .
ReplyDeletePopulation increased significantly through immigration, well over 15 million.
ReplyDelete7:44, no, that wasn't me, but I see you're so disappointed at the fact you can't refute my facts you are looking for another direction to be an a$$. Why don't you do your own research and present facts that refute what was posted?
ReplyDeleteThat's what I love about math; it absolutely disregards liars and misinformation! Truth is so hard to let liars in!
Staff Mathematician,
ReplyDeleteSo at the end of the day, NY is a mess, but the rest of the country hasn’t seen and statistically discernible change in overall death compared to last year. And what’s more, it’s not spread evenly across demographics - it’s mostly older people, and mostly people with underlying conditions. That’s actually good - we can identify the at risk pool and protect them.
The problem is the arrogance of our leaders. Cuomo is NEVER going to say, oops, my bad . And neither is Hogan. So, they become all the more entrenched.
And, NY’s blunder was allowing CV patients back into the nursing home - that likely added 25%of their deaths. And of course keeping the subways going, too. So, take NY out of the mix, and you’re talking about another flu season. And, I don’t say that to be flippant. The flu goes from Dec. - April. CV goes from Feb. - likely June. So, we got two flu seasons in one year.
Also, many deaths would have happened with the normal flu, but CV likely got their first.
It either is or it isn't. Find the truth that will show you the way.
ReplyDelete4:17, You are a complete IDIOT. We have delivered factual and documented information. Funny how you are too stupid to attempt to recalculate the numbers we've delivered in the hope we missed something, in which we did not.
ReplyDeleteAs for others, the numbers we have provided includes ALL deaths. So when someone mentions cancer and other points of death they are ALL included for whatever reasons.
Certainly NOT the Corrupt Govt , that's for Shure !!!!
ReplyDeleteMany Many here on Delmarva , still NO Unemployment $$ over a Month !!!
Even after Filing & getting a Number to Prove you did (Confirmation #)
several weeks don't show up on Website & Md never answers E-mails &
Phones to Fix it !!!
"Anonymous said...
ReplyDeleteYup, the hospitals being flooded with people dying. Pretty Normal?
May 1, 2020 at 10:28 PM"
Let's get something clear and stick with facts. Fear mongering is NOT ever helpful and serves no purpose. The hospitals were NOT flooded with people dying. Putting aside NYC which was an outlier most hospitals in the US were not seeing much unusual OTHER then the fact that Covid patients can be or become very sick. Due to the severity staff can only handle few patients at a time. 1 RN/2 patients.