While I project the annual death toll from Covid 19, keep in mind that so far this year the medical community was taken by surprise by a new disease with unknown cures and no vaccines to treat it. After 4 months, two treatments have been developed that are now reducing the death toll and rate. It’s also important to consider that Covid is mostly taking the lives of those who have one or more of the pre-existing conditions listed below, so a lot of those numbers will just be shifting from one cause to Covid.
Whatever the cause, on average 2.8 million of us will be exiting this planet every year, and despite the attack of this virus, the 2020 overall death rate from all causes including covid is on a downward trend, matching 2017 numbers when we had 5 million less population. Even with our current 63,000 Covid deaths in the first third of the year, I doubt with improving treatment techniques versus increased cases as the economy is opened back up, projecting through December could range from 125k to 180k is an approximation on my part. It could become a lot less.
Leading causes of death in the USA annually:
1) Heart disease 635k 23%
2) Cancer 598k 22%
3) Accidents 161k 6%
4) Lower respiratory 155k 5.6%
5) Stroke 142k 5%
6) Alzheimer’s 116k 4 1/4%
7) Diabetes 80k 3%
8) Influenza & Pneu 52k 2%
9) Kidney disease 50k 2%
10) Suicide 45k 1.6%
11) Septicemia 39k 1.4%
12) Chronic liver 38k 1.4%
Other 22.3%
While this chart might put Covid 19 in the top 6, we have to take into consideration that 327.2 million, or 99% of us will still be alive next year. Not only that, all the new births will make up for that 1%, so we’ll have just as many friends.
Life has risks. I say, “Live it, love it & laugh vigorously”.
Its easy to talk about the the deaths from coronavirus not being important, until you or one of your close relatives die from it. Yeah, real easy.
ReplyDeleteLet me guess you have
Delete9:26 Did ya read the damn story? NOBODY except an idiot here and there is saying Covid is NOT important!!! We're just being RATIONAL! Look at the stats...Just in 2020 alone the CDC is estimating 606,000 DEATHS from CANCER, and cancer isnt even contagious!! So WHY THE HELL is everyone freaking out over covid? YES covid "can" kill, BUT most deaths are due to OTHER pre-existing conditions. Cancer just KILLS, Period, the end. But we're not seeing people flipping out over it. Were not seeing fancy jets flying all over the country yo honor the "Heros" add nauseum, we're not seeing draconian government overreach. You said we dont understand unless we've lost a loved one, well what about the 606,000 deaths from cancer? Thatd a LOTTA loved ones! What about Heart desiese? Etc etc and FYI, I'm not being a smartass, I myself am a 2 time cancer survivor, so I KNOW the facts, on mortality, and have lost 4 LOVED ONES due to cancer, so it sure would be nice if folks would get over the "Pandemic of the day" and share the passion they have for covid, and just go out and Live NOW! Lifes short man, grab it while it's in front of ya, and quit living in fear of the media hysteria. God will decide when we die. Paranoia will destroy ya...just saying
DeleteSo Joe now you're posting anonymously? You're the only one that capitalizes random words, tons of exclamations and calling people idiots and morons because you don't have the intelligence to get your point across in a mature manner.
DeleteHey brain surgeon, Joe didnt write this. Funny how yer dissing Joe'sintellect, yet...Just exactly, what did you write her that shows any intellect?...just saying
DeleteIs this an attempt to convince us to not do the best that we can to to prevent the deaths and stop the spread. It okay because it is only 75,000 or 100,000 lives in a 3 or 4 month period?
ReplyDelete9:51, DID YOU READ WHAT I WROTE? Obviously not. PLEASE point out where I saidcwr shouldn't do our best to control covid, but The FACT is cancer kills MANY MANY more, yet doesn't have people freaking out. Now add Heart desiese, car accidents, etc. etc. My ONLY point was why all the hate, overreach, etc. Chill man. Its offensive that You feel the need to destroy what I CLEARLY said
DeleteI'll have to also research the population demographics. I.e., current age breakdown of that 327.2 million. I'm guessing there remains an heavy % in the older than 60 category (BABY BOOMERS) - which over the next 20-25 years the majority will die with minimal births taking place in replenishing the population.
ReplyDeleteNothing gruesome, in 20 years the population can drastically decline but yet the debt will still be there for less people to pay into (taxes).
Live for today - but you have to be thinking about tomorrow.
Thanks for the article and the information. It certainly puts things in perspective. My family has no one impacted by the virus, but we are experiencing two family members suffering with cancer. The chances of their survival are not as good as with the virus. Kind of makes one wish it was the virus they were fighting, the odds of total recovery would be much greater.
ReplyDeleteYep. Cancer kills 600,000 a year...yet...the country still sells cigarettes. If they want to prevent death, completely ban cigarettes. They won’t do that. But, they will make all of us stay at home and close all businesses. Disgusting.
ReplyDeleteDont smoke, NEVER have, so that "narrative" doesn't fly after my 2 cancer diagnosis. Cigarettes have ALWAYS been the "Go to" b
DeleteBlame word for cancer...just saying
The problem with these stats:
ReplyDeleteEveryone who dies is subject to be called COVID-19 do the hospital can get paid by the Feds. This is how the Feds tweaked the numbers to be as high as they are now. Your roofer can fall off your house and die, and there is a good chance it will be listed as COVID-19.
For real
Read about it!
The CDC has admitted as much
I don’t trust the US Government
ReplyDeleteIt lies about everything
Well everything except, uhhh, ahhh, Mmmmm, Ehhhh, Uhhh, well ok, your right THEY LIE!
Delete1022 -
ReplyDeleteWe are first to blame our gov't, yet first to speak up when we need more help during trying times.
Never a happy medium.
Can't live with them, can't live without them. Kinda like marriage.
Ban cigarettes just because it is a public health issue and so many die from it. Really , and you do not want to practice safe social distancing because its your RIGHT?
ReplyDeleteSeems like a double standard if you ask me
Not all cancer deaths are related to smoking !! 10:17
ReplyDeleteDisgusting to try and rationalize preventable deaths.
ReplyDeleteHaha capitalism has truly won when people are arguing to let others die for the dollar. Truly patriotic...
ReplyDeleteForgot Democrats to the list !!! Major CAUSE !!!
ReplyDeleteIn-laws also a major cause.
ReplyDeleteActually, the 3rd leading cause of death in this country is Medical errors. Over 250k a year, every year. But don't go to the beach/s
ReplyDeleteEveryone needs to look up Nicole Sirotek. She's a RN from NV who went to NY to "help." I personally know of 3 people with covid who walked out of NY hospitals and got well. 2 they had wanted to admit they refused and were better in a few days. The other was a patient. He had a breather on not a ventilator. They wanted to do a ventilator. He took the breather off got dressed and walked out. He was better within a week.
ReplyDeleteYes, many people with these pre-existing conditions have precarious health and may die from those things in the future, but they are dying NOW because they contracted the corona virus. So, yes COVID is the reason for death.
ReplyDelete