Each crisis is bigger than the one before. In complex dynamic systems such as capital markets, risk is an exponential function of system scale. Increasing market scale correlates with exponentially larger market collapses.
This means that the larger size of the system implies a future global liquidity crisis and market panic far larger than the Panic of 2008.
Today, systemic risk is more dangerous than ever.
Too-big-to-fail banks are bigger than ever, have a larger percentage of the total assets of the banking system and have much larger derivatives books.
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All of the markets are now rigged casinos.
ReplyDeleteThe House always wins.
COMEX, Forex, LIBOR, all of the markets are rigged.