Hillary Clinton goes into Super Tuesday with a 26-pledged delegate lead (91-65) over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. She also has a 433-superdelegate lead (453-20).
In crunching some numbers, an NPR analysis finds one very rosy scenario for Sanders in which he comes out with the majority of pledged delegates on Super Tuesday. This is considered unlikely, but it's his best possible day.
The analysis also shows close to Clinton's best day, including winning Colorado, Massachusetts and Oklahoma — all places Sanders is targeting. It gives Sanders big wins in Vermont and Minnesota.
That second scenario would give Clinton a 151-delegate win. So our range for Tuesday in pledged delegates appears to be something like Sanders plus-1 to Clinton plus-151.
Here are scenarios:
1. The Sanders win – 433-432
DelMarVa's Premier Source for News, Opinion, Analysis, and Human Interest Contact Publisher Joe Albero at alberobutzo@wmconnect.com or 410-430-5349
If I were a democrat I would be seriously upset over the whole superdelegate thing....why even bother with a primary? It seems to me they have already decided who will be running in the general election.
ReplyDeleteIdiot proofing 4:21.
ReplyDeleteNeed to do away with this superdelegate/delegate crap and just put whoever wants to run on the ballot. Let the people decide. Maybe Mickey Mouse will finally win as an unaffiliated candidate.
ReplyDelete