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Monday, October 25, 2010

Flawed Polls Miss Ehrlich’s Momentum

·         You know political polling is flawed when The (Baltimore) Sun editorial board throws cold water on its own paper’s poll, but that’s exactly what happened this weekend.
·         The Sun wrote of its own flawed poll that it, “wouldn’t bet” on those flawed results materializing. – The Baltimore Sun, October 24, 2010
·         The new Washington Post poll is no more reliable.  40 percent of those surveyed in today's Post poll do not even describe themselves as likely voters, meaning that the results are diluted by individuals who are less likely to vote.
·         Bob Ehrlich has momentum going into the final week of the campaign for three reasons:
o   Incredible fundraising reports showing that Marylanders helped Bob Ehrlich nearly double Martin O’Malley in his last fundraising report;
o   Strong endorsements from newspapers, fire-fighters, and police officers across the state;
o   Economic Stagnation as Maryland's unemployment rate ticked up yet again to 7.5% under Martin O'Malley - double the rate when O'Malley took office.

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